Using
Land Values to Fund Maglev
September
2nd and 9th, 2002
- Any significant improvement in transportation infrastructure creates
wealth. In broad terms, it does so because it gets you to where
you want to go quicker and it enables you to travel to new locations
that were previously more difficult to access.
The
redistribution of this wealth (consumer surplus) is not restricted
to users and providers but also includes property owners because
the price of real estate is directly affected by LOCATION, LOCATION,
and LOCATION. That piece of real estate is suddenly closer in travel
time to more people and businesses.
Whether
it was the freeways or subways, they traditionally were paid for
by the public sector. Since it was determined that transportation
benefits were for the "public good", it never seemed unjust
that private property owners who did not contribute toward any capital
cost, benefited financially. This arrangement may be changing, potentially
benefiting urban maglev systems.
Today,
the private sector is being called upon to assume all or a portion
of new transportation investments. As result, some policy makers
are examining the idea of recapturing some of this new wealth and
using the returns to fund transportation infrastructure. This will
have a major effect on the financing of new maglev systems in particular.
In
"Getting There Faster", The Economist describes how the
U.K. Government and the City of London are exploring means of recapturing
some of the real estate appreciation attributed to transportation
infrastructure improvements. An especially interesting example for
urban maglev proponents is the extension of the Jubilee line. While
the developer of the Canary Wharf properties - Olympia & York
- provided £180 million towards the capital cost of the extension,
it is now believed that no government subsidy would have been needed
if a larger part of the increase in land values had been recaptured.
It is estimated that the affected property values in the Docklands
increased four fold.
The
Canary Wharf project and the Jubilee line are fine examples for
Maglev projects to follow. While the Docklands area is now only
20 minutes away from West London, it was much further in travel
time prior to the building of the Jubilee line extension and the
Docklands Light Railway. While this area was certainly accessible
from any point in London, the Isle of Dogs was difficult to get
to by automobile and bus. Even if the roads were expanded and the
bus networks improved, neither travel mode would have been able
to transport a working population of 42,000 people into and out
of the development every day.
The
fact that 42,000 workers now travel to a destination that was not
accessible before but were induced to travel here should not be
lost to Maglev researchers. Clearly, the amount of travellers induced
by the development and the transportation infrastructure brought
value to the Docklands properties. Herein lies a very important
lesson for Maglev researchers. If future maglev projects are to
be financed in whole or in part by the recapture of land evaluation
increases, then it will be essential to estimate the amount of new
traffic that will be generated by new maglev lines, especially if
travel times are substantially reduced bringing potential new land
parcels closer to a growing commuting population.
Transportation
infrastructure improvements for the automobile certainly result
in similar increases in property value. No doubt, the aggregate
increase in the value of suburban properties in America during the
construction of the national Dwight D. Eisenhower freeway system
at least equalled the capital cost of construction. But unlike collective
mass transit, the ability to recoup any appreciation is much more
difficult for freeway projects.
Because
the automobile does not require stations to load and off-load passengers,
motorists are able to reach virtually any destination that is accessible
to a major freeway. As a result, any land appreciation is more evenly
distributed among all property owners. A case in point is the example
of the Confederation Bridge linking the Province of Prince Edward
Island to mainline Canada; described here in last week's web article.
While island property has increased because of the Confederation
Bridge, the increase has been very marginal for individual properties.
Had the infrastructure improvement been a collective transportation
system, the impact on property values would have be much more localized
and visible.
In
the case of a Maglev system, the appreciation in land value will
be significant and localized. Providing the maglev system is able
to merge the speed of intercity travel modes with the travel time,
cost, convenience and reliability of mass transit urban systems,
enabling commuters to travel between New York and Boston (46 minutes)
just as easily and quickly as it is currently between Grand Central
Station NY and Greenwich, CT (45 minutes), the impact on strategically
located property values would be very significant.
Source:
Getting There Faster, The Economist
|